外部经济冲击对我国进出口贸易的影响——基于新兴市场经济体的研究

本文从贸易和金融渠道对我国受到其他新兴经济体的外部冲击的可能性进行了评估,并借助GVAR(Global Vector Auto-Regressive)模型方法,考虑了世界各国的交互影响来分析新兴市场国家的宏观经济波动对中国进出口产生的影响。研究发现,区域内的新兴经济市场对我国影响更为显著,韩国、印度、中国香港发生宏观经济波动时对我国进出口贸易可能造成较大的影响。基本上,中国对外贸易对韩国遭受冲击后的反应快且大,但受影响时间较短,人民币汇率波动在应对外部冲击时发挥了一定作用。中国和印度贸易合作关系大于竞争关系。     

Performance of Foreign and Global Mutual Funds: The Role of Security Selection,Region‐Shifting,and Style‐Shifting Abilities

We examine the performance of U.S.‐based foreign and global funds after controlling for their regional and style exposure. We show that, on average, the total performance (TP) and security selection abilities of both foreign and global funds are significantly negative and exhibit short‐term predictability. Additionally, R² reflects funds’ security selection abilities, consistent with previous findings for domestic mutual funds. Investors can earn higher abnormal returns and TP in the short run by purchasing past winners with low R² than by purchasing past losers with high R². However, there is no evidence of predictability in the funds' region‐shifting and style‐shifting abilities.     

The Impact of Company Resources and Capabilities on Global New Product Program Performance

Product innovation and the trend to globalization are two important and interrelated dimensions driving business today. In this article, the results of five published research articles on the topic of global new product development (NPD) are summarized to provide an integrated overview of the factors that impact global NPD program performance. The overall conceptual framework is based on three types of literature—NPD, globalization, and organization. The main theoretical approach for establishing relationships between factors is the dynamic capability/resource‐based view. Accordingly, factors linked to outcome are seen as operating on different organizational levels, with more actionable initiatives or ‘capabilities’ largely mediating the softer and longer term background ‘resources’ of the firm. The analyses are based on a broad cross‐industry sample of 467 firms (North America, Europe, B2B, goods/services). Three global NPD‐related background resources (global innovation culture, resource commitment, and senior management involvement), labeled the ‘behavioral environment’ of the firm, are identified and shown to be linked to global NPD program performance via the mediated effect of four specific NPD capabilities (NPD process, strategy, team, and IT/communication). A qualitative synthesis of the findings is provided, along with recommended management initiatives with which firms can enhance their performance in the global NPD effort. Both sets of factors are found to be essential and highly interrelated, but it is the strength of the behavioral environment resources that distinguish the best performing firms, setting the stage for success in global NPD.     

全球价值链中的最优生产组织决策模型研究

为探寻跨国公司对全球价值链实现协调与控制的最优生产组织安排,在不完全契约理论框架下,扩展并构建了基于全球价值链的生产组织决策模型,其中重点考查了跨国公司与产业链上下游企业之间的议价能力及股权决定。研究表明跨国公司在每一生产阶段的最优组织模式选择与其在价值链上所处的生产阶段密切相关,并受到投入品替代弹性、最终产品替代弹性以及总部服务密集度等因素的影响。     

基于TiVA数据库的中国出口贸易增加值研究

利用世界投入产出表和Ti VA数据库,发现1995-2009年中国出口产品的国内增加值在下降,国外增加值在提高,但近年来国内增加值有回升态势。对中国出口产品所蕴含的国内部门的直接增加值、国内部门的间接增加值、进口投入品中的国内增加值以及国外部门的增加值进行了分解,并以中国电气和光学设备制造业为例,对其全球价值链进行解构分析,发现国内外很多部门都对中国电气和光学设备的出口贡献了增加值,服务业部门的贡献率不容忽视。中国制造业应当加强自主研发,不断提高出口产品的国内增加值,大力推动国内服务业的发展,更好地支持制造业参与全球价值链分工。     

天津市电子信息产业攀升全球价值链战略研究

本土企业攀升全球价值链不仅是改变产业“低端道路”的路径依赖,也是发展中国家摆脱发达国家“俘获”的重要选择。以天津市电子信息产业为例,从跨国公司市场势力、产业链垂直预占及产业定位三个方面分析制约本土企业产业升级的因素。应明确产业定位、提升产业链创新能力、培育产业合作网络.     

Global value chains and the lost competitiveness of the Japanese watch industry: an applied business history of Seiko since 1990

An applied business history approach offers particular insights into the lost competitiveness of the Japanese watch company Seiko and its causes. Although Seiko was the world's largest firm in the watch industry in the mid-1980s, the company experienced a huge decrease in sales during the next decade and became unable to compete effectively against Swiss watch companies that had repositioned themselves in luxury business. The focus on the evolution of global value chains (GVC) in the industry, which saw a shift from producer-driven GVC to buyer-driven GVC, highlights a major change in the 1990s. Seiko did not change its strategy despite this paradigm shift and has continued to run its foreign subsidiaries according to the producer-driven model.     

经济研究中的演化博弈理论

本文对国内外演化博弈论的发展动态进行了较系统的综述，指出演化博弈论以及演化博弈模型的基本特征，并从方法论、认识论、时间的不可逆性、随机因素、选择机制及均衡等方面进一步说明了演化博弈论在经济学领域的应用价值及应用前景。     

全球化经济下的新概念——全球品牌

全球化经济、电子通讯技术的发展和年轻一代文化的发展,促成了全球品牌的形成,这些全球品牌具有自己的特点和具有特别的价值。全球品牌不仅帮助企业应对国际合作,也帮助企业适应年青一代文化的发展,让企业的品牌在世界上更强大。